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European Urban and Regional Studies
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Euro-Commentary : Scenario Analysis and Regional Economic Development

The Case of Mid Wales

Nerys Fuller-Love

University of Wales Aberystwyth, UK

Peter Midmore

University of Wales Aberystwyth, UK

Dennis Thomas

University of Wales Aberystwyth, UK, det{at}aber.ac.uk

Andrew Henley

University of Wales Swansea, UK

The scenario approach to developing foresight, to improve policies supporting rural economic development, is discussed and illustrated with an application in the Mid Wales region of the United Kingdom, which displays characteristic rural problems, including agricultural decline, demographic imbalance, and sparsity and remoteness of populations. Conclusions which may be drawn from this application suggest that the approach helps to confront and deal with the considerable uncertainties involved in strategic decision making at the regional level by developing a shared understanding among key opinion-formers.

Key Words: Mid Wales • regional economic development • scenario analysis

European Urban and Regional Studies, Vol. 13, No. 2, 143-149 (2006)
DOI: 10.1177/0969776406062523
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